Forex trend lines strategy

EXPERIENCE LEVEL
Contents:
  1. How to Draw Trend Lines Perfectly Every Time [ Update]
  2. How do you draw trend lines?
  3. Trend lines in price action
  4. 117# Trendline Trading System

When your trading strategy involves a technical analysis you will need to chart the data, which means that you must become comfortable with using charts to determine trends and indicators. You must able to spot ongoing trends and recurring patterns that disrupt the continuity of data. Charted data may be divided into two categories, which includes reversal patterns and continuation patterns.

Reversal patterns indicate a market entry point or time to liquidate an open position.

Continuation patterns indicate that a trend was disrupted and then continued in the direction of the original trend. Market trends present a pattern of the market's broad movement. Trend lines are determined by connecting two points on a linear graph of historical market data as either peaks or troughs in the data.

Even though a trend may be established with only two points, more points provides a better picture of true market trend. Trends may be established for any chosen timeframe, from minutes to years.

Trend lines may indicate an upward or downward pattern or they may not point in either direction. Data sometimes settles into familiar charting patterns A common analytical technique is to analyze the intersection of trend lines with the most recent price. If a downward trend intersects with the most recent price, it indicates that you should buy. If an upward trend line intersects with the most recent prices, it indicates that you should sell. Trend lines are controversial because many traders become confused as to where to actually draw the lines. Since trends are defined by price actions, trend lines are intended to be a tool for determining the direction of a trend.

In this manner, there are two types of trendlines:. We have a bullish trend when the Forex pair is increasing.

How to Draw Trend Lines Perfectly Every Time [ Update]

In this manner, the price of the pair records higher bottoms and higher tops. The bullish trend line should be located below the price action and it should connect the bottoms of the currency pair. This way the bullish trend line acts as a support for the price action. The bearish trend has the opposite character of the bullish trend. We use a bearish trendline in order to measure the price action during a price decrease.

In this manner, the bearish trend requires the price to record lower tops and lower bottoms. This indicates that the price is dropping. The bearish trend line should be located above the price action during a price decrease.

The bearish trendline plays the role of resistance for the price. In order to draw a trendline bearish or bullish , you first need to identify a trend.

How do you draw trend lines?

Can you find a trend on the chart? But once we add our trendline to the chart, you can see that there are at least three minor trends here. Two of them are bearish red , and one of them is bullish green. Basically, drawing trendlines is not hard, but it can be tricky at times. In order to gain a better understanding of how to draw trend lines, we must first recognize the composition of the typical candlestick bar.

Every Japanese candlestick consists of five elements — body, top of the body, bottom of the body, upper candlewick, and lower candlewick. We need to understand these elements in order to build a proper trendline. So, if you want to build a bullish trendline, you need the spot the lower candlewicks and the candle body bottoms on the chart.

Most times you would use the candlewicks to compose the trendline, however, you could use the candle body in instances where short term volatility spikes occur outside the normal range of the sloping trendline. Then, if the price is moving upwards, you connect these with a straight line. In order to confirm a trend, you need at least three points lying on the same line!

When drawing trendlines, you must have a minimum of two points. In order to confirm a sloping support or resistance tendency , you need a third confirmation point, lying on the same line as the two previous points. So, our bullish trend starts with the first and a second bottom.

Trend lines in price action

The third bottom is the trend confirmation signal. The arrows after the confirmation point out subsequent tests of support, which lay in the area of our trendline. Never think of the trend as contained within of a single line. The trend is not a line, but an area. When you build a bullish trendline you should take into consideration the lower candlewicks and the body bottoms. Very often the lower wicks of the candlesticks might go outside the scope of the trendline.

However, we know to think of the trendline as an area and not as a single line written in stone. An important point also to keep in mind is that as trendlines mature, there will be more of a tendency for price reactions at the trendline levels, and many times you will see false breakouts around these areas. The third top on the chart confirms the trend line. The last top of the downtrend goes outside the trendline. However, we recognize from the price action at this test that most of the price action closed within the trendline area, and there were quite a few wicks around this zone, indicating that price was being rejected as it was trying to break thru.

As a result, price records another drop before it eventually breaks the trend on the final attempt. There are auto trendline indicators that will draw trendlines for you, but most are not very reliable. Since we discussed how to identify trends and build trendlines, we can now switch gears and discuss trading with trendlines.

117# Trendline Trading System

There are three basic occurrences on the trendline, which could be traded — trending move, correction, and breakout. In a downtrend, the level of resistance goes down as time progresses. An uptrend is identified when there are higher highs and higher lows as time passes; A downtrend is identified when there are lower highs and lower lows. Another thing to look for is channels. Channels are comprised of two parallel trend lines with prices bouncing between them.

The typical strategy is to sell at top of the channel and buy at the bottom of the channel. Usually traders look for patterns in the trend that create trade opportunities. Channels provide a context in which high-probability patterns are identified.