- Backtesting and Forward Testing: The Importance of Correlation
- 2018 Update: CFTC Sues Another “Trading Strategy and Systems” Scheme
- About The Author
- Alex Clark: Full-time trader
I learned so much about fundamentals and what actually drives the markets, with depth that I was unaware of, in a way that was understandable. They say the best teachers can explain complex subjects to a child, I was certainly that child. Testament to the depth and experience of the mentors. The one week course teaches a complete trading strategy and also offers support along your journey.

Scaling out and managing stop-loss was one of three major parts that changed my game. Classic entry… An entry method that puts the odds of a winning trade in your favor, over a series of trades. This was a game changer. But only when incorporated with everything else. Less is more. Trading is a game of averages, balance between win rate vs reward.
Over trading and taking on low probability trades reduces the averages for the sample size. By being strict and disciplined in your approach will give you the best chance of success. Fundamental drivers. Economic data releases and hierarchy of news, what story in the news is the most important today? If the situation escalates you know which product to go for and which direction to play. I trade from home, up at for the European session. Finished trading by spend the rest of the day reviewing, planning, testing, improving etc. Stay disciplined, focus on getting a tiny bit better each day.
This, fellow traders, is an example of the cycle. And it will continue to repeat itself until the trader realises two things. Firstly, there is no perfect strategy, and secondly, at least a thorough back test is required before moving into a live setting.
Backtesting and Forward Testing: The Importance of Correlation
It is normal to them. Though a valid answer, the majority of traders do not allow enough trades to pass to justify modification. A trading strategy needs at least 30 trades to have worthwhile statistics to warrant alteration, if any. It is almost impossible to identify whether a strategy requires adjustment after two or three trades. It is no more than guesswork. If you happen to be one of these traders adjusting or even changing your method after only a few trades, then you are likely trapped within the cycle.
2018 Update: CFTC Sues Another “Trading Strategy and Systems” Scheme
There is only one way this cycle can be sidestepped. Put the work in and back test the trading strategy thoroughly. Although each individual trade is considered random, back testing a trading strategy tells you whether you have an edge in the market over a SERIES of trades. This provides the confidence to continue trading in the face of losses and also informs you if modification may be needed.
In order to compile trade samples, consider signing up to an IC Markets demo account here.
About The Author
The demo platform is free to open, and supports all account types and trading products. Trading a strategy through a demo account will, dependent on the trading style adopted, take time to accumulate trade samples.
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But it is time well spent. For swing and position-based trading strategies, which could take months to accrue enough trades, there is reasonably good back testing software on the market to help speed this process up.
Alex Clark: Full-time trader
Understandably, strategies vary from trader-to-trader. Even so, every strategy should have the following things in common:. Find a strategy that fits your personality, as it is ultimately you in control of your account.
And remember; avoid the cycle at all costs. Spend time back testing a method to prove its worth before committing live funds. Armed with a back tested strategy should help avoid getting caught in the cycle, as you have statistics to back up your trading activity.
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If you experience a losing streak in live trading, similar to one encountered in back testing, the emotional connection, albeit unpleasant, is unlikely to cause damaging behaviour as you have historical data informing you this scenario has happened before and, ultimately, may occur again. Try a Demo Account The accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information contained on this site cannot be guaranteed. IC Markets does not warranty, guarantee or make any representations, or assume any liability regarding financial results based on the use of the information in the site.
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